# Post Defense Hedge Exit Control Compare

## Compile / Preflight

- Compile: 0 errors / 0 warnings
- H0-H4 runtime/static PREFLIGHT: OK
- Conditions: GOLD / M5 / Model=0 / Deposit 50000 JPY / leverage 1:888
- EA entry logic, BasketClose target, D4 DXY/VIX-only cache policy were preserved.

## Summary

| Pattern | NetProfit | FinalBalance | FinalEquity | MaxDD(event approx) | Trades | BasketClose | DefenseHedge | PostHedgeLossCloses | HardStopRows | Decision |
|---|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|---|
| H0_P0_BASE | 7414.0 | 57414 | 57435.00 | 7807.0 | 56 | 53 | 3 | 0 | 4 | base |
| H1_PostHedgeGoodEnoughAndMaxLoss | 9010.0 | 59010 | 59010.00 | 9410.0 | 109 | 101 | 8 | 16 | 0 | improves profit/HardStop but overactive; DD worsens |
| H2_PostHedgeTimeCompression | 8401.0 | 58401 | 58401.00 | 9176.0 | 120 | 111 | 7 | 14 | 2 | improves profit and target baskets, but DD worsens and HardStop remains |
| H3_PostHedgeAgainstStrongTrendFastExit | 8389.0 | 58389 | 58389.00 | 9176.0 | 120 | 111 | 7 | 14 | 2 | improves profit and target baskets, but DD worsens and HardStop remains |
| H4_PostHedgeMarketRetryOnly | 6082.0 | 56082 | 56648.00 | 8594.0 | 54 | 51 | 3 | 0 | 4 | not enough; worsens profit |

## HB1 / HB2

- H1/H2/H3 all changed HB1/HB2 from HardStop to PostHedge close.
- HB1 improved from -4483 yen to about -3577 / -3259 / -3271 depending on H1/H2/H3.
- HB2 improved from -5274 yen to about -4191 / -4140 / -4140 depending on H1/H2/H3.
- H4 retry-only did not solve the basket; HB2 stayed effectively HardStop-level around -5261 yen.

## Final Decision

No H pattern is a clean adoption candidate yet.

Reason: H1 gives the best NetProfit and removes HardStop rows, but it doubles trades/DefenseHedge activity and worsens event-based drawdown from H0. H2/H3 improve the two target baskets but still leave HardStop rows and also worsen DD. H4 market-retry-only does not improve the strategy.

The useful signal is that Post-DefenseHedge exit control does work on HB1/HB2, but the current thresholds are too aggressive for direct adoption. Next test should narrow this to fewer post-hedge loss closes, or pause DefenseHedge exit tuning if DD control remains worse.

